COMPARISON OF ECOLOGICAL AND AGRO-CHEMICAL SOYBEAN CULTIVARS USING EMERGY ANALYSIS. HYPOTHESIS AND FIRST RESULTS.
Enrique Ortega and Mariana Miller
Faculdade de Engenharia de Alimentos
Unicamp, CP 6121
13083-970 Campinas, SP, Brazil
ABSTRACT
Nowadays, the predominant paradigm in conventional agriculture establishes that "technology is adequate whenever an increment in input produces an increase in output". This point of view usually results in an over-simplification of agricultural systems and loss of biodiversity in rural space. The output of the main product may be greater but the systems develop an enormous increase in internal stock losses and induce costs in others.
In this study, by means of a systems approach, we studied three different soybean production systems (including transgenic) and identified and measured (in terms of emergy) the contributions of biodiversity to the productivity of the cultivars, making it possible to substitute industrial inputs.
Also, in this preliminary research, the way in which emergy methodology deals with agricultural systems and the changes necessary to represent and correctly study conventional and agro-ecological systems was examined. The agroecological techniques (biological control, crop rotation, green manure, composting, mulching, incorporation of shrubs and trees in mixed cultures, use of manual labor) reduce losses of soil and preserve biological stocks, which if destroyed would take a very long time to recover. In conventional agriculture, the internal stock losses, the input wastes and the externalities need to be quantified in order to use their flows in emergy and economic indexes.
The prepared emergy diagrams and analyses are rather different from those of the simplified systems of modern agriculture in the USA and Europe in order to represent the complexity inherent in agroecological projects.
The organic, chemical and herbicidal systems show emergy favorable indices to the organic alternative. However, on the other hand, the economic index is favorable to herbicidal technology, which receives a high subsidize from the low petroleum price.
The data is still under collection, but we can say that the emergy indexes for agroecological projects, using the more complex point of view, are quite different from those obtained from chemical agriculture. They show higher values in relation to renewability (56% vs. 11%) and yield ratio (2.4 vs. 1.65) and lower values for investment (0.7 vs. 1.9), loading (0.8 vs. 8.2) and exchange (about 0.8 against 1.6). and similar values for transformity (80000 vs. 91500). Values for the annual profit ratio, defined as net income divided by expenses, are 1.1% against 1.6%, respectively.
Up to now, results have shown that both the studied agrochemical alternatives are neither ecological nor social equitable, but are more economically advantageous to farmers, inducing them to adopt non-sustainable procedures in opposition to Agenda 21´s agreements. Public policy needs to consider taxes to externalities and biodiversity losses produced by agrochemical technology and, at same time, incentives to promote agroecological projects according with the social and environmental benefits they produce.
Keywords: Soybean production, Transgenic, Biodiversity, Agriculture, Emergy.
1. INTRODUCTION
Agenda 21, the world agreement established in 1992, recognized the lack of sustainability of our economic system and promoted the creation of new standards to evaluate human achievements. After that, the economic science won a new variable for the evaluation of ecological performance: "Sustainability".
What characteristics could define a system as sustainable? Sustainability depends on the capacity of analysis of the systems behavior, on the perception of the economic system dependence on different kinds of external and internal energy sources and on the recognition that many of these sources have an ephemeral character. As a result, social conscience and capacity for self-government can be developed.
How to measure sustainability? Neo Classic Economy, although thoroughly used, has become obsolete due to its deficiencies in measuring sustainability (Ulgiati et al., 1998). New approaches are necessary, like energy analysis. First of all, it is necessary to identify all the system’s energy sources, after that, to classify the flows as renewable or non-renewable and, finally, to obtain the "renewability", an index fitted to quantify energy sustainability:
|
Renewable energy |
|
Renewability | = |
--------------------------- |
Total energy used |
The above mentioned sustainability can be calculated in several forms:
Use of renewable resources from biodiversity in agriculture:
Biodiversity contribution is diminishing due to degradation of the rural structure (previous systems were based on multiple crops and animal husbandry in diversified farms) and the use of energy intensive inputs with high environmental impact (chemical fertilizers, pesticides, herbicides). Furthermore, modern technology had lead to higher losses of soil and decrease in its fertility (through erosion, leaching, salinization and sterilization); loss of species and cultivars that do not provide high yields (some could be useful in the future). The agrochemical system loses soluble chemicals to watercourses and subsoil, polluting aquifers. People are also lost, as well as their cultural values, since they leave the area due to mechanization. For soybean production using transgenic seeds and herbicides, the costs must include human and nature health risks. Agricultural accounting and public policy might consider all these losses and additional costs.
2. MATERIALS AND METHODS
In this study, we use the emergy methodology proposed by Odum (1996). This technique has been used to analyze conventional agricultural systems (intensive in non-renewable energy) of the United States and Europe (Odum, H.T., 1984; Brandt-Williams, S. & Odum, H.T., 1998). However, as a function of peculiar characteristics of ecological agriculture, Ortega and Polidoro (1998), after observing very low values of renewability for agroecological projects, proposed several modifications to the emergy current approach for including biodiversity contributions and losses:
This study tries to assist the methodological concepts suggested by those authors. Some approaches and results from other researchers were considered, mainly one from Brown (1998), who made an emergy analysis of our Biosphere. He discovered that in a hundred years the rate of global renewability dropped from 95 to 27%. In industrialized countries this fall is more drastic, now having a renewability of 5 - 15%. Under-developed countries are more sustainable (50-60%).
In our work it was reviewed the diagram of the Biosphere, identifying the different stocks of internal energy (Figure 1).
Figure 1. A detailed energy flow diagram of the terrestrial biosphere showing internal stocks.
As well as the global system it is possible to analyze sub-systems. Our main research interest is emergy analysis of agricultural and agro-industrial systems. We prepared a general diagram of energy flows of an agro-ecological farming system (Figure 2).
Figura 2. Energy flow diagram of an agroecological system.
Definition of the case studied.
In Brazil's main soybean areas (Rio Grande do Sul and Parana States) it is common to plant soybean's in the summer and corn in the winter, forming a complementary system. The three main systems of production were studied: (a) agrochemical, (b) herbicide; (c) organic).
Common characteristics of both chemical options (options a and b):
1. Capture of atmospheric nitrogen (nitrifying bacteria);
2. Intensive use of soluble chemical fertilizers (phosphates and potassium);
3. Losses from leaching of 50% of the soluble fertilizers;
4. Intensive use of pesticides;
5. Soil, feed and water contamination with pesticides;
6. Externalities (traditional and new) are not accounted.
Specific characteristics of the traditional agrochemical option (fertilizer, pesticides):
1. Huge soil losses;
2. Intensive use of agricultural machinery;
3. Intermediate use of human labor.
Specific characteristics of the new agrochemical option (herbicide, direct seeding):
1. Reduced soil losses (due to the use of the direct plantation technique);
2. Low use of agricultural machinery;
3. Minimum use of human labor;
4. Intensive use of herbicides,
5. Leaching of surfactants (used in the herbicide formulation).
The organic option has the following main characteristics:
1. Minimum soil losses (due to the use of direct plantation and recomposition);
2. Capture of atmospheric nitrogen (nitrifying bacteria);
3. No-soluble chemical fertilizers, animal and vegetable manure use;
4. No use of pesticide or herbicide;
5. Moderated use of agricultural machinery; and wide use of family work labor;
6. Minimum losses from leaching of the input use;
7. No soil, feed nor water contamination;
8.Pratically has no externalities.
Other indices obtained to fulfill emergy analysis:
|
Sales – Costs of Economic Inputs |
|
ER Economic Rentability |
= |
----------------------------------------- |
Costs of Economic Inputs |
|
Sales – Environmental, social and economical Costs |
|
SE Systemic Rentability |
= |
---------------------------------------------------------------- |
Environmental, social and economical Costs |
3. RESULTS
Table comparing the results of the evaluation systems
Indices |
Standard Method |
Complex Method |
||||
Org. |
Chem. |
Herb. |
Org. |
Chem. |
Herb. |
|
Transformity (sej/J) |
49 000 |
59 000 |
81 000 |
80 000 |
76 000 |
107 000 |
R Renewability |
0.33 |
0.16 |
0.12 |
0.56 |
0.11 |
0.10 |
EYR Yield Ratio |
1.56 |
1.49 |
1.23 |
2.40 |
1.93 |
1.37 |
EIR Investment ratio |
1.8 |
2.1 |
4.4 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
ELR Environmental Loading |
2.0 |
5.4 |
7.8 |
0.8 |
7.7 |
8.6 |
EER Exchange ratio |
0.5 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
1.3 |
ER Economic Rentability |
4.3 |
2.1 |
10.6 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
SR Systemic Rentability |
4.3 |
0.4 |
4.4 |
1.0 |
-0.3 |
0.6 |
See data and calculation procedures at following web pages:
http://www.unicamp.br/fea/ortega/curso/planilha-simples.htm
http://www.unicamp.br/fea/ortega/curso/planilha-complexo.htm
http://www.unicamp.br/fea/ortega/cyted/software.htm
Figura 3. Comparison of organic, chemical and herbicide soybean production systems.
4. DISCUSSION
The emergy methodology, as used in other countries to study conventional agricultural systems (intensive in the use of non-renewable resources), does not show adequate results in the evaluation of ecological agricultural systems (intensive in renewable resources). The modifications in the methodology led to more coherent results (Figure 3). The data is still under collection, but we can say that the emergy indexes for agroecological projects, using the more complex method are quite different from those obtained with simple approach.
Using simple method, comparing agroecolgy against agro-chemical agriculture:
In favor of agroecology: Renewability (33% vs. 14%) and Yield (1.56 vs. 1.36) are bigger. Transformity (49000 vs. 70000), Investment (1.8 vs. 3.25), Loading (2.0 vs. 6.6) and Exchange ratio (0.5 vs. 1.95) are lower.
In favor of agro-chemical: Annual profit ratio are 4.3% against 6.3%, respectively.
Using complex method, comparing agroecolgy against agro-chemical agriculture:
In favor of agroecology: Renewability (56% vs. 11%) and Yield (2.4 vs. 1.65) are bigger. Transformity (80000 vs. 91500), Investment (0.7 vs. 1.9), Loading (0.8 vs. 8.2) and Exchange (0.8 vs. 1.65) are lower.
In favor of agro-chemical: Annual profit ratio (1.1% vs. 1.6%). Quite close!
5. PRELIMINARY CONCLUSIONS (BASED ON COMPLEX METHOD)
The results obtained (Ortega & Miller, 2000) came from the data of other researchers and expert opinions (FNP, 1999; IEASP, 1999). They need to be confirmed by field research to be done the next months. As final stage the results will be confronted with results obtained by Pimentel et al. (1996), Merico (1966) and other researchers of Ecological Economics.
These conclusions most be considered as hypothesis to be tested and refer only to results obtained with complex method.
6. RECOMMENDATIONS
The agrochemical and herbicide options require greater investment of non-renewable resources and they put at risk the access of energy resources for future generations. Organic agriculture is by far the most sustainable technique studied, and must be promoted. It is necessary to establish new public policies to tax and incentive the agriculture systems:
Tax:
Incentive:
Thus Renewability and Systemic Rentability will show the same behavior, otherwise Economic Rentability will oppose and always defeat Sustainability.
REFERENCES
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BROWN, M. T. "Environmental Accounting: Emergy perspectives on sustainability". . "Dialogo LI: Valoración e*conómica en el uso de los Resources naturales y Medio Ambiente".Instituto Interamericano de Cooperación para la Agricultura Montevideo, 1998.
FNP. "Agrianual 99. Anuário da Agricultura Brasileira". Editora Argos, São Paulo, 1999.
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http://www.unicamp.br/fea/ortega/curso/planilha-simples.htm
http://www.unicamp.br/fea/ortega/curso/planilha-complexo.htm
http://www.unicamp.br/fea/ortega/cyted/software.htm
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